Tuesday, July 08, 2008

Conspicuously Outlying

Have a look at this intriguing graph, from The Atlantic Monthly. Assuming that outliers will tend to regress towards the mean, what predictions can we make about the coming years?

1) Bulgaria, Russia, and Ukraine will either reach a higher GDP, or will become more religious.
2) The USA will either become more secular, or will face a falling GDP.

Care to make predictions?

(P.S. I have no idea what to make of Kuwait's situation.)

2 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

perhaps both? seems like the religious focus has increased in the past decade and we are due for a swing back (absolutely no data for this- just an observation from my short life span).

at the same time- if the economy continues on this track we should have a lower GDP.

I'm curious- why isn't Saudi Arabia on the grid? I think Kuwait would have company if they used more similar countries from the region.

7/8/08, 8:33 PM  
Blogger brushfiremedia said...

I'm disturbed to think that somebody probably got a grant for this.

7/8/08, 11:10 PM  

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